ATLANTA - Today is the first day of winter, so I am asked all the time; "what kind of winter will we have?" My honest answer is a little bit of everything. North Georgia winters are famous for warm, cold, rain, snow, ice, wind, and sunshine, sometimes all in the same week!
Here are the latest projections from the Climate Prediction Center (CPC): Their thinking is with a La Nina in place (the cooling of sea surface temperatures in the Central and Eastern Pacific Ocean) the overall upper-level pattern will favor a warmer and drier next 3 months.
However, I have never been a fan of the seasonal outlooks. I think they are too broad and don't really paint the picture, on top of that, the accuracy is often in question. To say the winter is likely to warmer and drier than average masks the fact that cold snaps will take place and often snow and ice events will be the lead story (see December 8&9).
What do I think? I say get ready for big swings in the temps, with waves of rainy days and then a stretch of dry weather. I think we will see another threat of wintry precipitation, probably several in the months ahead. Whatever the outcome, I will be here to give you the heads up so you can prepare. What I do know is that Spring is 89 days away!